He likes the limelight
Now, I will be the first to admit that most QB's tend to be in front of the camera far more than say the Left Guard or a Defensive Tackle. But most QB's are really good at directing the attention away from themselves in the interviews. Likewise, you don't see the Manning's and Brady's of the league tweeting out pic's of them in a casino or getting wrapped up in controversy to begin with. The top tier, franchise altering quarterbacks aren't exciting guys off the field... and there's a reason why. They are in the film room, watching hours of tape. They are running rep after rep with receivers to make sure timing is just right. In the NFL, everybody is fast. Everybody has a great arm. Everybody has the skills to be successful. The difference really comes down to who is most prepared for the situation and who can adjust to the ever changing coverages that teams will throw out there to try to confuse their opposition. Manziel, late in a major bowl game no less, would rather to try to get the fans to cheer louder than look at pictures of the opposing teams coverages. That may work in college Mr. Manziel, but in the pro's they will eat you alive.
He's the Tebow of his draft class
Tim Tebow was a proven winner at Florida. He had a Heisman and a couple of national titles under his belt. He was a guy the media and fans loved. And that was his biggest problem. Tebow did not have the skill set to be a QB at the professional level, but he refused to switch positions. This happens every year and these guys quickly fade away and aren't seen or heard from on a football field ever again. The problem with Tebow is that the fans and media were constantly hovering, hoping to see him on the field. When the Bronco's struggled, fans took out a billboard trying to get him on the field. When he managed to get wins despite not playing well, it was all about Tebow rather than the stellar D of the Bronco's. When he went to the Jets, it was a constant question of when and how would he be used. Tebow is a great guy, but the media circus that came with him was more than some teams wanted to deal with... particularly seeing he was a back up QB. Well Manziel declaring for the draft as an underclassmen, even though everyone knew he would, was all over the national news for several days... He loves it, but teammates and the guys who run the team won't. Being a head coach in the NFL is hard enough, why throw in added stress of ESPN wanting to know every time Manziel takes a bathroom break. Added media coverage for a single player rarely helps a football team win... and Manziel no doubt will bring plenty of attention to whatever team decides to draft him.
His talent will ruin a franchise
Having talent like Manziel is a blessing. Paraphrasing Bull Durham, the football gods reached down and turned his right arm into a lightning bolt. He's quick on his feet and he rises to the occasions in big games. A team, a coach or an owner is going to see all that and say "I've got to have that guy on my team". And on talent along they are absolutely correct. But just Like Calvin "Nuke" Laloosh in Bull Durham, he has a million dollar arm and a 2 cent head. He's the kind of guy that if he could sit on the bench for a year or 2 under a Manning or Brady might figure it out. He needs a "Crash" Davis to help him along. But without that, well... he's just going to keep being him. A leopard can't change its spots as the saying goes. He will, undoubtedly be in the news for non-football reasons. He will be involved in some controversy with a team or coach. And ultimately, I'm just guessing here, he will end up bouncing around the league as a guy who has all the tools to be a superstar, but one of those guys who just can't put it all together... And that's why he will ruin a franchise. Because someone will go to great lengths to make him the savior of the team, of the city, of what ever. And he will do just enough to keep tantalizing the league with his talent, but never really make the most of it.
So where do I see him landing? Well that easy. He is the exact type of guy perenially losers go for. If Oakland were a little lower I would see him going there, but seeing the Browns pick at 4, there's no doubt in my mind he slips past them. The owner of the Browns like to meddle and he's moving through coaches quicker than some celebs move through relationships. He will take a chance on a big talent... and I guess we'll see what happens.
Thanks for reading,
T.O. signing out.